Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 7.407030 8.220487 9.130171 10.231790 11.541947 13.066079 14.997019
2025-01-12 5.942673 6.953840 8.180948 9.811580 11.973020 14.820313 19.004704
2025-01-19 5.151210 6.227793 7.603504 9.547649 12.327997 16.347308 23.010415
2025-01-26 4.682354 5.807238 7.304848 9.531133 12.929178 18.271696 28.226663
2025-02-02 4.547527 5.792181 7.522848 10.242127 14.712474 22.488148 39.361538
2025-02-09 4.357845 5.669589 7.558782 10.667480 16.118252 26.521225 52.830881
2025-02-16 4.102563 5.421528 7.371525 10.695507 16.828087 29.468659 66.178367
2025-02-23 3.949898 5.305465 7.365596 11.013198 18.133957 34.187214 89.803698
2025-03-02 3.668600 4.970437 6.978345 10.607820 17.920559 35.289655 102.580468
2025-03-09 3.449303 4.713560 6.692421 10.344886 17.946823 37.029691 120.970564
2025-03-16 3.281893 4.524855 6.500496 10.228411 18.263656 39.716386 149.735205
2025-03-23 3.202830 4.468750 6.522998 10.518226 19.562929 45.992598 220.532093
2025-03-30 2.998803 4.213052 6.207399 10.156126 19.365068 47.852614 273.314765
2025-04-06 2.801303 3.958940 5.880189 9.743839 18.994088 49.135713 335.702838
2025-04-13 2.646766 3.764897 5.641978 9.482716 18.955131 51.750947 448.845831
2025-04-20 2.542556 3.646910 5.528481 9.466371 19.569815 57.621738 746.752361
2025-04-27 2.543038 3.703382 5.734806 10.170108 22.454532 77.593241 3868.911913
2025-05-04 2.504400 3.689564 5.808312 10.591002 24.694425 98.843135 550598.185573
2025-05-11 2.423049 3.595707 5.719975 10.618733 25.675434 114.303400 NaN
2025-05-18 2.378324 3.563300 5.747884 10.933033 27.812341 145.559011 NaN
2025-05-25 2.263873 3.399860 5.503271 10.531973 27.144582 148.519332 NaN
2025-06-01 2.171253 3.271547 5.321312 10.271798 26.971164 157.548406 NaN
2025-06-08 2.098948 3.176595 5.200637 10.156534 27.359376 175.645185 NaN